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From the Department of Anesthesia, University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA 52242, USA.
Address correspondence to: Dr. Franklin Dexter. Phone 319-330-7219; FAX 603-947-1304; E-mail franklin-dexter{at}uiowa.edu
| Abstract |
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Methods: The number of staffed beds represents a balance between having as few staffed beds as possible to care properly for parturients vs having enough capacity to assure available staff for new admissions. The times of admission and discharge of patients from the OB unit can be used to calculate an average census. From this average census, and the properties of the Poisson distribution, the optimal number of staffed beds can be estimated. This calculation requires specification of the risk of having all in-house and on-call staff caring for patients, such that additional staff are unavailable should another parturient arrive. As an example, patient admission and discharge times were obtained for 777 successive patients cared for at an obstetrical unit. The numbers of patients present in the OB unit each two-hour period were calculated and analyzed statistically.
Principal findings: There was variation in the average census among hours of the day and days of the week. Poisson distributions fit the data for each of four periods throughout the week. Simply benchmarking the current average occupancy and comparing it to a desired occupancy would have been inadequate as this neglected consideration of the risk of being unable to appropriately care for an additional patient.
Conclusions: The optimal number of beds and occupancy of an OB unit to minimize staffing costs can be determined using straightforward statistical methods.
STAFFING of obstetrical (OB) units is unique because all parturients seeking admission must receive care. Unlike postoperative surgical wards, the arrival of most parturients is random. As such, OB units often have empty, but staffed, beds.
Obstetrical anesthesiologists, obstetricians, and OB nurse managers need to work together to ensure that there are a sufficient number of staffed beds (i.e., staff) to care for patients on the OB unit. We define "OB unit" as the facility at which parturients labour and deliver. A staffed bed is the combination of a physical location (e.g., labour room) and appropriate nurse and physician coverage. If there are too few staffed beds, then parturients may not receive the care they need. If there are too many staffed beds, then labour costs for the OB unit may increase unnecessarily.
The goal of this article was to review the science of using OB patient arrival and discharge data to determine the optimal number of staffed OB beds, given that OB managers aim to achieve a balance between having as few staffed beds as possible to care properly for parturients vs having enough capacity to assure available staff for new admissions.1 This "staffing" decision is a long-term decision, meaning that it is usually made no more often than every 6 to 12 months. We do not consider in this paper the "scheduling" decision, which determines when each OB unit nurse is to report to work, and which on an OB unit may be adjusted hourly.
| Reason for focusing on the number of staffed beds |
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| Obstetric unit occupancy |
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The "average percentage occupancy" is the percentage of time that a staffed bed is being used. This is a measure of the efficiency of an OB unit.2 The average percentage occupancy is calculated by dividing the average census by the average number of staffed OB beds. For example, the average number of staffed OB beds may equal 8.5 beds. In a simple example, 8.5 staffed beds would be calculated as: [(8 beds 24-hr a day) + (2 beds for patients admitted to undergo a scheduled procedure such as elective Cesarean section) x (5 days each week used for scheduled procedures) x (8 hours a day during which scheduled procedures are performed) ÷ ((7 days a week) x (24 hours a day))]. If the average census was five patients and there was an average of 8.5 beds, then, the percentage occupancy would be 59%.
For purposes of calculating occupancy, "staffed beds" are the only available beds. For example, if the OB unit is particularly busy, then an additional nurse on-call could come in from home sufficiently early that he or she would be present if needed for a task such as performing an emergency Cesarean section. Likewise, a nurse manager may care for patients instead of working in an administrative office. However, for these providers to be available immediately for service in the OB unit, they would not be able to perform other patient care activities. As such, the beds that they cover are considered to be "staffed beds."
| Problem in using peer OB units to benchmark occupancy |
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In our previous example, the OB unit has a 59% occupancy. Let us suppose that benchmarked similar OB units have an average occupancy of 67%. Then, managers of our example OB unit may aim to decrease the average number of staffed beds from 8.5 beds to approximately 7.5 beds, where 7.5 = ((59%/67%) x (8.5 beds)).
The average occupancy model assumes that peer OB units have a nearly equal risk of not having enough staff available for a newly admitted OB patient. For example, an OB unit may maintain a high (e.g., 90%) occupancy by having so few beds that the OB unit is often "full" such that all in-house and on-call staff are caring for patients. This OB unit would not serve as a suitable "peer" comparison OB unit to an OB unit which chooses to have a lower risk that all in-house and on-call staff are caring for patients. This is analogous to not having available, appropriate OR personnel to handle a second emergency surgery case simultaneously at night if such a patient were to need care.
In order to match appropriately an OB unit with a benchmark OB unit, the risk that all in-house and on-call staff are caring for patients and cannot appropriately care for an additional patient must be measured for each OB unit. The average occupancy model to estimate staffing needs is inadequate because it neglects computing this risk.4 As such, the average occupancy model has been rejected for use in statewide planning efforts.5
Measuring the risk that all in-house and on-call staff are working and are not able to care appropriately for an additional patient requires that the Poisson probabilistic analyses, described in the next section, be used.
| Risk analysis of having a full unit such that all in-house and on-call staff are working and are not able to care appropriately for an additional patient |
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The risk of having a "full" unit, at any given time, can be calculated by making the assumption that the number of patients present in the OB unit follows a Poisson distribution.3 Clinical studies have found this assumption to hold.1,3,6 For example, Thompson et al.6 measured the number of patients present in an OB unit each hour during 30 consecutive days. The actual distribution for the number of patients present at each hour in that OB unit was plotted and found to match the distribution predicted assuming a Poisson distribution.6 We provide an example of such an analysis, including figures, below in the "Application of the analysis ..." section.
The numbers of patients in an OB unit at any one time have been shown to follow Poisson distributions,1,3,5,6 because the following three criteria required for Poisson distributions are reasonable for most OB units:
The objective in calculating the risk of all in-house and on-call staff being used and not able to care for an additional patient is to choose the number of beds to staff which maximizes the average percentage occupancy while at the same time not exceeding some predetermined risk of having all available staff working.2,3,8 To do this requires calculation of the cumulative distribution function for the Poisson distribution. This can be done using the "Poisson" function in Excel® (Microsoft, Redmond, WA). We used this function to create Table I
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A higher risk of having all in-house and on-call staff working and not able to care for an additional patient (e.g., 10% of hours) may not allow for enough excess capacity to handle those rare, "busy" days on the OB unit when there are more patients than the staff can handle safely.
The published risks of an OB unit being "full," (i.e., no additional staff available to care for another parturient if one were to arrive) include 1%,5,9 2%,6 and10,11 5% of hours. For this reason, we included 1% and 5% in Table I
. Generally, if a risk of 5% were considered to be satisfactory for a densely populated area with several OB units, a risk of 0.5% might be more appropriate for a sparsely populated region with only one OB unit.2
To use Table I
, the average census of the OB unit also has to be measured. A characteristic of the Poisson distribution is that the average census is the only parameter necessary to describe the distribution.
When the risk and average census have been specified, Table I
can be used to calculate the maximum average occupancy that the OB unit can achieve. For example, if the average census of an OB unit is 6, and the risk of having all in-house and on-call staff caring for patients is less than 5%, then the minimum number of staffed beds is 10 and the maximum achievable average occupancy is 60%. The number of OB staff planned for these beds depends on the average nurse to patient ratio and physician to patient ratio. The analysis in Table I
also shows that with a 5% risk and typical census levels in the United States, average occupancy rates will not exceed 65%. Analysis using sophisticated computer simulation models arrives at the same conclusion.11
There are economic advantages of having a larger average census.5 Provided that the risk of having a situation where all in-house and on-call staff are caring for patients is kept constant, an increase in the average census permits a higher percentage occupancy (Table I
).3,5 This means that OB units with more patients per day can be more productive than lower volume units. For example, an OB unit with an average census of four patients needs staff for at least nine beds if the risk of having all in-house and on-call staff working (i.e., no additional available staff for the OB unit if another patient arrives) is to be maintained at less than 1% of hours (Table I
). The OB unit's mean occupancy must then be less than 44%.
In contrast, an OB unit with an average census of 15 patients could have an average occupancy as high as 60% while maintaining the same risk. The prediction that OB units with higher average censuses have higher average percentage occupancies has been confirmed in observational studies comparing occupancy rates of OB units in Connecticut.10
| Variability hour to hour in the average census on the OB unit |
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Birth rates can vary among times of the day. For example, in Calgary, Canada the birth rate is above average between 7 a.m. and 6 p.m., in part because of the scheduling of patients who are to have induction of labour or have elective Cesarean sections during these hours.12
Birth rates can also vary among days of the week, because there may be fewer patients with induced deliveries and Cesarean deliveries on weekends compared to the number on weekdays.13 For example, in the United States, Saturday and Sunday have lower birth rates than Monday through Friday.13 There is more variation in birth rates among days of the week ( 15%) than among months of the year ( 4.9%).13 Since most OB units will have little monthly variation in birth rates, reevaluating staffing every two to three months without considering systematic monthly variation is generally appropriate.
| Application of the analysis: example using data from Stanford University Medical Center |
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| Special situations where the Poisson derived analyses may be inadequate and computer simulation would be required to analyze staffed bed requirements |
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| Summary |
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| Footnotes |
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Accepted for publication October 13, 2000.
| References |
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2 Shonick W. A stochastic model for occupancy-related random variables in general-acute hospitals. J A S A 1970; 65: 1474 500.
3 Blumberg MS. "DPF concept" helps predict bed needs. Mod Hosp 1961; 97: 7581.
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Huang X-M. A planning model for requirement of emergency beds. IMA J Math Appl Med Biol 1995; 12: 345 53.
5 Western Wisconsin Health Systems Agency Hospital Bed Need Task Force Final Report. 1981 Mar. 77. Sponsored by Bureau of Health Planning, Hyattsville, MD.
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7 Pike MC, Proctor DM, Wyllie JM. Analysis of admissions to a casualty ward. Br J Prev Soc Med 1963; 17: 1726.
8 Thompson JD, Fetter RB. The economics of the maternity service. Yale J Biol Med 1963; 36: 91103.
9
Vassilacopoulos G. A simulation model for bed allocation to hospital inpatient departments. Simulation 1985; 45: 233 41.
10 McClain JO. A model for regional obstetric bed planning. Health Serv Res 1978; 12: 378 94.
11 Gupta T. Use of simulation technique in maternity care analysis. Computers Ind Eng 1991; 21: 489 93.
12 Wang ZJ, Avard D, Abernathy T, Nimrod C. Birth patterns: are the Chinese in Guangzhou City different? Int J Gynecol Obstet 1988; 27 : 2535.[Medline]
13 Ventura SJ, Martin JA, Curtin SC, Mathews TJ. Report of final natality statistics, 1995. Monthly vital statistics report. Hyattsville, Maryland: National Center for Health Statistics 1997; 45(Suppl11): 39.
14 Lamiell JM. Modeling intensive care unit census. Military Med 1995; 160: 227 32.
15 Young JP. Administrative control of multiple-channel queuing systems with parallel input streams. Oper Res 1966; 14: 145 56.
16 Young JP. Stabilization of inpatient bed occupancy through control of admissions. Hospitals 1965; 39: 41 8.[Medline]
17 Buffa ES, Cosgrove MJ, Luce BJ. An integrated work shift scheduling system. Decision Sci 1976; 7: 620 30.
18 Jenkin-Cappiello E. Oh baby! A labor and delivery staffing system measures patient census and acuity. Nurs Manage 2000; 31: 35 7.
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