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From the Department of Anesthesiology, Queens University, Kingston, Ontario, Canada.
Address correspondence to: Dr. Gordon Morewood, Department of Anesthesiology, University of Pennsylvania Health System Presbyterian Medical Center, 51 North 39th Street, Philadelphia, PA 19104, USA. E-mail: morewoog{at}uphs.upenn.edu
| Abstract |
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Methods: All licensed health care facilities potentially employing anesthetic services were identified. On February 1st, 2002 a questionnaire was mailed to each institution. On April 1st, a second mailing was sent to non-responders. Those facilities that did not respond to either mailing were contacted by telephone.
Results: Responses were obtained from 831 of 891 (93%) health care facilities. Four hundred and twenty-six of the facilities employed anesthetic services. There were 1,610 operating rooms (ORs) in use daily, and 2,134 full-time equivalent (FTE) anesthesia providers were available to the institutions surveyed. Respondents identified an immediate need for 228 additional FTEs. Hospitals with less than five ORs or five FTEs reported higher vacancy rates than hospitals with greater than five ORs or five FTEs (P < 0.0001). Ontario (n = 85) and Quebec (n = 69) had the largest absolute deficits of FTEs and significantly greater odds of vacancies than western provinces (Ontario OR = 1.84, Quebec OR = 2.50). The projected need for 2007 was an additional 560 FTEs.
Conclusion: This is the first study to survey a national census of "consumers" of anesthetic services: Canadian health care facilities. The results indicate substantial current and worsening future shortages of anesthesia providers in Canada.
| Introduction |
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Recognizing the impending shortage of anesthesia personnel, based primarily on the work of Donen et al.,7 the Association of Canadian University Departments of Anesthesia (ACUDA) commissioned a study designed specifically to address human resource planning within the specialty of anesthesia.10 This study culminated as the Ryten report which created a model based on "percapita" utilization of anesthetic services by age and gender. It demonstrated an increase in demand for anesthetic services in women of childbearing years (2039 yr) and the elderly (> 60 yr).11 Projecting this model into the future, Byrick et al. demonstrated that by 2016 the demand for anesthesia services would increase by 31% despite an increase in the general population of only 18%, due to an increasing proportion of elderly.12 Craig et al. attempted to convert this future increased demand into specific numbers of physicians.13 According to their analysis, Canada was deficient 208 anesthesia providers in 1999, and a projected deficit of 656 would occur by 2016. However, they articulated a need for further study to validate their model and to update these conclusions.
Despite these studies, the number of anesthesia providers required by the Canadian health-care system remains controversial. Questions persist regarding both the adequacy of the current supply and what the future demand will be. Since the provision of anesthetic services remains primarily hospital based, it is one area of physician resource planning that is uniquely suited to questioning these "institutional consumers." As an alternative approach, the authors conceived a survey which would contact each health-care institution across Canada and obtain brief but fundamental information on anesthetic services. A single previous study, limited to specific centres within the province of Ontario, utilized a similar design in 1998.14 The purpose of this study was to characterize anesthesiology human resources for the whole of Canada. The main outcome was to quantify the number and adequacy of anesthesia providers in 2002, and predict the same for the year 2007.
| Methods |
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The survey consisted of 13 multiple-choice or numerical-answer questions (Appendix). The questionnaire was printed on a single page with an English version on one side and French on the other. An addressed, stamped, return envelope and a brief bilingual cover letter explaining the objectives of the study were included.
The list of institutions to be surveyed was compiled from the registry of licensed health-care facilities maintained by each provincial government in combination with a proprietary database maintained by Southam Directories Incorporated. For each institution, the survey was addressed by name to (in decreasing order of preference) the Chair or Director of Anesthesia, the Chief Medical Officer, or the Chief Executive Officer. Each addressee was encouraged to delegate completion of the questionnaire to whichever individual within their institution they felt was best able to provide the information requested.
The survey was first mailed on February 1, 2002. Responding institutions were tracked by the use of unique identifying numbers on each questionnaire. On April 1, 2002 a second identical survey was mailed to all non-responding institutions. During June and July 2002, all remaining non-responding institutions were contacted directly by telephone.
All questions were closed-ended with categorical responses, therefore statistical analysis included frequencies and percentages on all variables. Variables included location and type of anesthetic services, and current (2002) and future (2007) full-time equivalent (FTE) needs. An FTE was defined as an anesthesiologist who was in hospital providing direct patient care 40 hr per week (Appendix). Cross-tabulations were performed on FTE deficit (i.e., proportion of unfilled positions) by; hospital size, number of operating rooms (ORs), number of available FTEs, population size, and province/region. Associations between vacancy rates and demographic characteristics were assessed using Chi-square for trend. Odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated to assess for the magnitude and the precision of the associations. Cross-tabulations were also calculated for response rates by province. Finally, net FTE deficits for this study were compared to studies in the literature. Analysis was performed using MS Excel and EpiInfo 2002.
| Results |
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Four hundred and twenty-six (55%) facilities employed anesthetic services. Twelve (2%) institutions that had no access to anesthetic services at the time of the survey identified a need for such services. Of the institutions that employed anesthesia services, there were approximately 1,610 ORs in use daily across the country. These institutions identified 2,134 FTE specialist anesthesiologists and family practice anesthesiologists, available to provide care nationally.
Anesthesia human resources in 2002 and 2007
The data regarding the availability of anesthesia providers is summarized in Table I
. Sixty two percent of institutions that provide anesthetic services reported that they had an adequate supply of providers. Of note, however, 35% were understaffed and 228 FTE positions for anesthesia providers were reported as unfilled at the time of the survey. Furthermore, 46% of respondents anticipated expanding their need for anesthetic services by the year 2007. Overall, a need for 560 additional anesthesiologists by the year 2007 was identified.
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2 for trend = 16.3) and least in hospitals with greater than 500 beds (OR = 0.49, 95% CI 0.310.77). Hospitals with five or more ORs reported proportionately fewer vacancies than hospitals with less than five ORs (
2 = 28.6, P < 0.0001). Similarly, hospitals with five or more FTEs reported proportionately fewer vacancies than hospitals with less than five FTEs (
2 = 43.2, P < 0.0001). Centres with a population of at least 250,000 had half the vacancy rate of centres with a population less than 50,000 (population 250,000999,999 OR = 0.57, 95% CI 0.370.87; population 1,000,000 + OR = 0.56, 95% CI 0.370.86). Institutions in Ontario (OR = 1.84, 95% CI 1.262.69) and Quebec (OR = 2.50, 95% CI 1.683.72) had significantly greater odds of vacancies than those in western provinces.
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| Discussion |
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Strengths of this study included the excellent response rates from all regions of the country (Table IV
); the direct querying of the "consumers" of anesthesia services; and the use of a standardized number of hours per week to define a FTE anesthesiologist. The 93% response rate allows confidence that the results are representative of the nation overall. The direct questioning of individuals in the institutions in which anesthetic services were utilized allowed us to obtain direct estimates of need rather than theoretical projections. The sensitivity of physician demand to number of hours worked per week as emphasized by Ryten11 prompted the decision to clearly define a FTE anesthesia provider. Forty hours spent per week providing direct patient care appears to be a reasonable number based on the results of a recent survey of anesthesiologists.16
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The deficit numbers reported in this study were somewhat greater than those of previous reports. One explanation for this discrepancy is the inclusion of both specialist anesthesiologists and family physician anesthesiologists nationwide in the current survey. Yang et al. studied ten urban institutions in Ontario and did not attempt to measure shortages in rural areas.14 Craig et al. extrapolated data from the Ryten report that was modelled on billing patterns for anesthesia services in Quebec. There are very few family practice anesthesiologists working within this province,11 thereby likely under-representing national shortages in this group.
Within anesthesia, physician resource planners now have two studies, utilizing distinctly different methodologies, which show that the current supply of anesthesiologists is inadequate and that the deficit will worsen over the next five years (Table V
). The consistency of these findings provides support for the use of Rytens model in calculating future anesthesia resource needs. Rytens report recommended graduating 150 FTE anesthesiologists per year to correct our current deficit and the predicted additional demand by the year 2016.11 The Canadian post-graduate medical education system currently produces 80 to 90 specialist anesthesiologists,13 and fewer family physician anesthesiologists per year.17 In addition, not all specialist anesthesiologists are entering clinical practice11 and the average anesthesia career length of family physician anesthesiologists is only ten years.7 Making the shortages worse, Canadian physicians are training longer, are older as a group, and are retiring at an increasing rate.18
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Finally, there is an urgent need to determine why all specialist anesthesiology graduates are not entering clinical practice and why family physician anesthesiologists make limited use of their anesthesia training.1,11 The barriers to IMGs and to the return of Canadian anesthesiologists trained or practicing abroad need to be investigated to ensure that we are not unnecessarily foregoing these valuable resources. Also, as recommended by recent government and academic reports, Canada needs to increase medical school, postgraduate, re-entry and IMG training positions and evaluate whether or not the current pedagogy is relevant for our health care system.1,2,11,24,25 Just as important, we need to consider rejuvenating the medical profession by decreasing the length of training or by reducing the time spent in pre-medicine years. New models of delivering health care, including the appropriate use of anesthesia assistants, need to be explored to increase clinical output and emphasize the role of physicians as diagnosticians.1,24 An inevitable result of inaction will be the withdrawal of anesthesiologists from participation in patient care other than in the OR. This would have a negative impact not only on patient care, but also on the development of the specialty itself. A national human resources plan that is specialty-specific is required.7,11,13 The Canadian Medical Forum Task Force Two and the possible creation of the Health Institute for Human Resources, as recommended by the Canadian Medical Association,26 appear to be positive initiatives. However, the Canadian Anesthesiologists Society should be proactive and lead the way on this issue in order to preserve the future of the profession.
| APPENDIX Survey questionnaire |
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| Acknowledgments |
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| Footnotes |
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Accepted for publication May 3, 2004. Revision accepted October 15, 2004.
| References |
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2 Kirby M, Breton M. The Health of Canadians The Federal Role Final Report. The Standing Committee on Social Affairs, Science, and Technology. October 2002.
3 Canadian Medical Association. Ipsos-Reid. National Report Card 2001 Report, updated September 2001.
4 Blendon RJ, Schoen C, DesRoches C, Osborn R, Zapert K. Common concerns amid diverse systems: health care experiences in five countries. Health Aff (Millwood) 2003; 22: 10621.
5 The Canadian health care system: views and experiences of adults with health problems. The Commonwealth Fund 2002 international health policy survey. May 2003.
6 Barer ML, Stoddart GL. Toward integrated medical resource policies for Canada: 1. Background, process and perceived problems. CMAJ 1992; 146: 34751.[Medline]
7 Donen N, King F, Reid D, Blackstock D. Canadian anesthesia physician resources: 1996 and beyond. Can J Anesth 1999; 46: 9629.
8 The Royal Physicians and Surgeons of Canada. Memoranda to Deans of Medicine, Associate Deans, Postgraduate Medical Education, Provincial Registrars. Subject: Foreign Medical Degrees and Foreign Training. October 17, 1996 and December 9, 1996. Ottawa, 1996.
9 Roos NP, Bradley JE, Fransoo R, Shanahan M. How many physicians does Canada need to care for our aging population. CMAJ 1998; 158: 127584.[Abstract]
10 Seal R, Reid D. Submission to the Romanow Commission from CAS/ACUDA. October 31, 2001.
11 Ryten E. A physician workforce planning model for the specialty of anesthesia: theoretical and practical considerations. Association of Canadian University Departments of Anesthesia. Available from URL: http://www.anesthesia.org/acuda/en/ryten.html - last accessed October 24, 2003.
12 Byrick RJ, Craig D, Carli F. A physician workforce planning model applied to Canadian anesthesiology: assessment of needs. Can J Anesth 2002; 49: 66370.
13 Craig D, Byrick R, Carli F. A physician workforce planning model applied to Canadian anesthesiology: planning the future supply of anesthesiologists. Can J Anesth 2002; 49: 6717.
14 Yang H, Byrick R, Donen N. Analysis of anesthesia physician resources: projected Ontario deficit in 2005. Can J Anesth 2000; 47: 17984.
15 Statistics Canada. CANSIM II, table 051-0004. Last modified June 27, 2003.
16 Ghazar N, Morewood GH, Engen D, Ashbury T, VanDenKerkhof EG, Wang L. Gender differences in the Canadian anesthesia workforce. Can J Anesth 2003; 50: A109 (abstract).
17 Society of Rural Physicians of Canada Group. Joint position paper on training for rural family physicians in anesthesia. November, 2001.
18 Chan BT. Canadian institute for health information report. From perceived surplus to perceived shortage: what happened to Canadas physician workforce in the 1990s? June 2002.
19 Audit Commission. Anesthesia under examination. The efficiency and effectiveness of anaesthesia and pain relief services in England and Wales. London: Audit Commision, 1997.
20 Romanow RJ. Commission on the future of health care in Canada. Building on values. The future of health care in Canada. Final report, November 28, 2002.
21 Hawaleshka D. Cut the wait times, Macleans, October 27, 2003.
22 Orwen P. Surgery crisis looming. Toronto Sunday Star. December 1, 2002.
23 Haley L. Vancouver ORs forced to close due to shortage of physicians. The Medical Post. November 19, 2002; vol 38: iss 42.
24 McKendry R. Physicians for Ontario Too Many? Too Few? For 2000 and Beyond. Report of the fact finder on physician resources in Ontario. December 1999.
25 The Association of Canadian Medical Colleges. Strategic planning for a sustainable system of health care in Canada. Brief to the Commission on the future of health care in Canada. October 31, 2001.
26 Wharry S, Sullivan P. CMA calls for "more hands on deck." CMA Interface 2003; vol 4: no 10.
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