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Monday June 19 |
Toronto General Hospital, UHN, Toronto, ONTARIO, Canada
INTRODUCTION: Mortality after non-cardiac surgery is .7.8 % at 1 week and 23% at 30 days. This study was undertaken to evaluate the independent risk factors associated with post operative mortality.
METHODS: Following REB approval, perioperative data on patients having non-cardiac surgery was prospectively collected in a clinical registry. Patients whose hospital stay was to be less than 24 hours were excluded. This registry was combined with data from the hospital acute pain service database (APS Manager), the hematology database (Hemocare) and the cardiology database. Linking these diverse databases allowed a detailed report for each patients perioperative period. Analyses were performed using SAS version 8.20. The independent variables for the initial study were known cardiac risk factors, anemia and RBC transfusion, and perioperative drug use. The dependant variable was in hospital death. In the post hoc analysis the dependant variable became any RBC transfusion, and nineteen independent variables were studied for their relationship to transfusion, using descriptive statistics and logistic regression.
RESULTS: The final study sample consisted of 2996 patients, with 72 deaths (2.4%). 5 pre-operative risk factors (hx of CAD, CHF, DM, Renal Dysfunction, CVA), 6 drug therapies (Beta Blocker, Nitrates, Statins, ASA, ACE inhibitors, Calcium Channel blockers), anemia and transfusions were analyzed. The results of the multiple logistic regression analysis are seen in the Table
(model c-index 0=0.874). Transfusion of RBC was independently associated with death (OR 2.9, 95% CI 1.55.8), with the strongest overall predictor of death being transfusion of 3 or more units RBC (OR 7.5, 95% CI 3.9-14.5). In post hoc analysis the strongest variable associated with RBC transfusion is pre operative anemia.
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